Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gruul Aggro | depian | 5-0 | 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949 |
| Red Deck Wins | latorretta | 5-0 | 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949 |
| Gruul Leyline | xenowan | 5-0 | 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949 |
| Red Deck Wins | yukiro | 5-0 | 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949 |
| Red Deck Wins | kakashi_ | 5-0 | 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949 |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Big Red , Boros Aggro , Boros Auras , Boros Burn , Boros Discover , Boros Forge , Boros Mice , Boros Monument , Boros Recommission
Meta Performance Analysis
Burst Lightning ranks #36 out of approximately 339 cards in raw efficiency (top 11%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 57.0%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Burst Lightning is a very strong card that performs well in most contexts.
Recommended number of copies: 3
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 39.20 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 1 mana, the average win rate in the format is 70.5%. Burst Lightning has a win rate of 71.9%, making it 2.1% better than other 1-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slick Sequence | Instant | 11 | 90.6% | 8 |
| Third Path Iconoclast | Creature — Human Monk | 26 | 81.3% | 12 |
| Bulwark Ox | Creature — Ox Mount | 5 | 80.0% | 3 |
| Bruse Tarl, Roving Rancher | Legendary Creature — Human Warrior | 6 | 77.4% | 3 |
| Crumb and Get It | Instant | 7 | 73.8% | 4 |
| Stock Up | Sorcery | 68 | 71.4% | 25 |
| Bounce Off | Instant | 21 | 71.1% | 9 |
| Quintorius Kand | Legendary Planeswalker — Quintorius | 9 | 70.1% | 4 |
| Cori-Steel Cutter | Artifact — Equipment | 67 | 70.0% | 26 |
| Mazemind Tome | Artifact | 5 | 70.0% | 2 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Burst Lightning than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Might of the Meek | Instant | 1 | 5 | 94.7% | 74.1% | +20.6% |
| Callous Sell-Sword | Creature — Human Soldier // Sorcery — Adventure | 2 | 8 | 88.9% | 73.4% | +15.5% |
| Turn Inside Out | Instant | 1 | 8 | 87.1% | 72.9% | +14.2% |
| Cacophony Scamp | Creature — Phyrexian Goblin Warrior | 1 | 7 | 87.1% | 73.0% | +14.1% |
| Leyline of Resonance | Enchantment | 4 | 7 | 87.1% | 73.0% | +14.1% |
| This Town Ain't Big Enough | Instant | 5 | 14 | 84.8% | 70.9% | +13.9% |
| Slick Sequence | Instant | 2 | 8 | 86.4% | 73.2% | +13.1% |
| Urabrask's Forge | Artifact | 3 | 7 | 87.1% | 75.1% | +12.0% |
| Stock Up | Sorcery | 3 | 50 | 82.4% | 71.9% | +10.5% |
| Spell Pierce | Instant | 1 | 51 | 82.3% | 72.3% | +10.0% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gruul Aggro | 1843 | 89.3% | 46.8% |
| Red Deck Wins | 1330 | 98.5% | 52.2% |
| Boros Burn | 367 | 93.9% | 47.2% |
| Temur Otters | 112 | 33.4% | 41.8% |
| Gruul Leyline | 92 | 48.4% | 49.6% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.